Malaysian palm oil market factors to watch Tuesday Feb 19

The following factors are in all likelihood to impact Malaysian palm oil futures and different vegetable oil markets on Tuesday Feb 19.

FUNDAMENTALS

* Malaysian palm oil futures edged greater during Monday trade, charting a 2nd session of gains in three days, bolstered by means of strength in associated fit for human consumption oils and expected weaker output.

* U.S. wheat futures fell to multimonth lows on Friday, no matter vast energy in commodity and equity markets as grain merchants monitored bearish technical alerts as properly as falling fees in the global cash wheat market.

* U.S. oil costs hit a three-month high on Tuesday, buoyed through production cuts led via the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries.

MARKET NEWS

Australian wheat manufacturing falls to 11-year low as drought bites

U.S. tariffs on EU vehicles ought to imply EU buying much less U.S. soya beans and gas - Juncker

Brazil's JBS faucets Argentine corn over highly-priced home crop

Chinese frozen food firm recollects merchandise suspected of African swine fever contamination

UK's Gove: Govt will use tariffs, quotas to protect farmers after Brexit


DATA/EVENTS

Cargo surveyor AmSpec releases Malaysia's Feb 1-20 palm oil export data on Feb 20.

Cargo surveyor SGS releases Malaysia's Feb 1-20 palm oil export data on Feb 20.

Cargo surveyor ITS releases Malaysia's Feb 1-20 palm oil export records on Feb 20. - Reuters

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Oil fee fumbles on world monetary worries, US$ strength

Oil expenses slipped on Tuesday, falling from two-month highs as concerns over a international monetary slowdown crept back into the market, and a more advantageous greenback additionally weighed.

Prices sagged after a survey confirmed euro sector business enlargement nearly stalled in January. That, coupled with disappointing U.S. factory orders records a day earlier, stoked concerns about softer demand, analysts said.

Brent crude futures fell fifty three cents to settle at $61.98 a barrel. They touched their highest level in more than two months at $63.63 the preceding day. U.S. Crude Oil futures dropped 90 cents to settle at $53.66 a barrel, or down 1.7 percent.

Futures held lower after the close, when the American Petroleum Institute stated U.S. crude shares rose by means of 2.5 million barrels remaining week, greater than analyst expectations.

Oil also felt stress from a strengthening dollar, which rallied for a fourth straight session, which makes crude greater steeply-priced for non-U.S. Buyers.

"It truely regarded to be a dollar influence right here today," stated John Kilduff, a associate at Again Capital Management. "It was fascinating that we didn't trap a bid alongside with the inventory market due to the fact that had been the correlation."

Investors had been shifting assets into equities and away from markets greater sensitive to Washington-Beijing alternate relations and actions in the dollar, said Phillip Streible, senior commodities strategist at RJO Futures.

"Oil is just no longer in favour today, and they are going after the fairness markets," he said. Wall Street was once slightly greater on Tuesday.

U.S. sanctions on Venezuela have been considered as supportive of expenses by means of helping tighten international supplies. Numerous tankers are presently in the water off the Venezuelan coast, unable to pass due to the fact state-owned PDVSA is stressful payment, which would run afoul of U.S. Sanctions.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia, agreed to manufacturing cuts nice from remaining month to beat returned furnish growth. A Reuters survey determined that furnish from OPEC states had fallen the most in two years.

Concerns about the pace of world monetary growth had been fanned by a weak begin for the yr for euro sector businesses. A Tuesday survey confirmed demand declined for the first in over 4 years.

New orders for U.S.-made goods fell in November, according to facts launched a day earlier. 

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Palm Oil based Biofuel for protecting rainforest ban by Norway becomes first country this

 Palm oil-based biofuels will no longer be authorised in Norway, the nation's parliament introduced remaining week. The move, which goals to thwart the destruction of Indonesian rainforests razed for palm oil plantations, makes Norway the first u . s . to enforce such a ruling.

Norway's biofuel enterprise will have until 2020 to segment out the oil. But palm oil isn't just located in biofuel; it is also used in a range of meals and private care objects from pastries and peanut butter spreads to shampoos and soaps. Those objects will nevertheless be permitted. The EU is also working towards a 2030 closing date to section out products the use of palm oil. And different countries are anticipated to comply with Norway's lead on palm oil.

"The Norwegian parliament's decision sets an important example to different countries and demonstrates the want for a serious reform of the world's palm oil industry," Nils Hermann Ranum of Rainforest Foundation Norway said in a statement.

The rainforests in Indonesia, and mainly in the Bornean forests, are being destroyed for the manufacturing of palm oil. Borneo is the only area the place endangered orangutans are found in the wild and their numbers are swiftly declining as forests are burned so palm plantations can take their place.

Norway's decision to cast off palm oil from its biofuel industry got here after years of dialogue and a vote ultimate yr to stop the authorities from buying palm-based biofuel (the authorities moved alternatively to a voluntary removal system).

The ruling remaining Monday garnered a majority vote by parliament; it used to be extra complete than preceding legislation, too, now extending to the country's complete gasoline market, urging the authorities to "formulate a comprehensive notion for insurance policies and taxes in the biofuels coverage in order to knock out biofuels with excessive deforestation risk."

Palm oil is no longer only inflicting deforestation and habitat loss for orangutans - it's taking a toll on the climate as well. According to recent estimates, cutting-edge demands should lead to 7 billion tonnes of CO2 emissions produced over the next two decades.

Norway's Rainforest Foundation commissioned a 2017 record on palm oil-based biofuels and found them to be greater negative to the climate than fossil fuels, "perhaps several instances worse."
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COMEX MARKET IN MALAYSIA| GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

INTERNATIONAL COMEX NEWS

• Gold eased Friday on light profit-taking, a day after achieving its biggest one-day rally in two years. But support remained solid above the $1,200 level from safe-haven demand triggered by the recent weakness on Wall Street and spike in Treasury yields. “My 35 years on the floor have seen all this before,” George Gero, analyst at the RBC Wealth Management in New York, said, referring to gold’s ability to stay above the $1,200 level despite a series of rate hikes planned by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
• The winter heating season officially began this month, with U.S. supplies of natural gas roughly 17% below the five-year average for this time of year—sending prices for the commodity to their highest levels since January. That could presage elevated, volatile prices as temperatures begin to fall. Domestic natural-gas supplies in storage stood at 2.956 trillion cubic feet for the week ended Oct. 5, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.
• Oil prices rebounded Friday from the previous day's rout, but still logged their biggest weekly loss since the second quarter after data showed U.S. drillers ramping up output, even as a second global energy agency said the market was adequately supplied. A weekly reading on the U.S. oil rig count rose by eight, the first such climb in four weeks, which signaled the U.S. shale crude industry was intensifying drilling with prices near four-year highs.

ECONOMY NEWS

• Italian officials must stop questioning the euro and need to "calm down" in their budget debate as they have already caused damage to firms and households, European Central Bank ECB President Mario Draghi said on Saturday. Italy's government has been locked in a war of words with European officials over Rome's plans to triple the deficit next year, backtracking on a previous pledge to narrow the budget gap in one of the bloc's most indebted countries.
• The International Monetary Fund said on Saturday its members pledged to refrain from competitive currency devaluations and step up dialogue on trade, as escalating trade frictions and higher borrowing costs threatened to knock global growth. The agreement came as U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin reiterated his concern over the yuan's weakening against the dollar - a drop that Washington suspects may be aimed at giving Chinese exports a trade advantage and offsetting U.S. tariffs.
• Japan wants to highlight global imbalances as key topics of debate, and take steps to fix them, when it chairs next year's gatherings of the Group of 20 major economies, government officials said this week. Tokyo hopes other countries would join Japan to counter U.S. President Donald Trump's focus on narrowing U.S. trade deficits through purely bilateral trade deals, the officials say, rather than the big international agreements now in place.

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Comex trading signals In Malaysia | Gold Trading Forecast Today

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

INTERNATIONAL COMEX NEWS

• Gold prices rose on Wednesday morning in Asia, driven by the ongoing currency crisis in Argentina, which economists expect could lead to a recession, a weaker peso and higher inflation. Gold futures for December delivery went up 0.06% to $1,199.7 at 10:47PM ET (02:47 GMT) on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. A monthly survey by Bloomberg on Tuesday showed that Argentina’s inflation is expected to hit 40.3% at the end of the year, higher than the 31.8% forecasted in July.
• Oil fell toward $77 a barrel on Wednesday as a tropical storm hitting the U.S. Gulf coast weakened and moved away from oil-producing areas, easing supply concerns. Crude had jumped the previous day as oil companies shut dozens of offshore platforms in anticipation of damage from tropical storm Gordon. But by Wednesday the storm was weakening, reducing its threat to oil producers.
• U.S. oil producer ConocoPhillips (N:COP) is still awaiting payment from Venezuela on a $2 billion arbitration settlement reached last month with the country's state-run PDVSA, Chief Executive Ryan Lance said on Wednesday. Conoco last month suspended legal attachments efforts that had cut Venezuela's oil exports from several Caribbean facilities following a deal that allowed the country 90 days to make an initial $500 million payment.

ECONOMY NEWS

• Argentina's peso lost nearly 1 percent against the U.S. dollar early on Wednesday as government officials met with the International Monetary Fund in Washington to try to secure early cash disbursements under an emergency financing deal. The peso opened down 0.89 percent at 39.4 to the dollar despite Economy Minister Nicolas Dujovne saying in Washington on Tuesday evening that he hoped to clinch a deal with the IMF within a month.
• Italy is unlikely to get one of its own appointed as the next head of Europe's banking watchdog, sources say, diminishing Rome's chances of retaining its influence over the European Central Bank once ECB chief Mario Draghi steps down next year. The ECB is looking to replace Daniele Nouy, a French national, as the head of the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM) -- the first of four top jobs at the central bank coming up for grabs in the next 15 months.
• The U.S. Federal Reserve should hold off on further interest rate rises because the stance of monetary policy is already at neutral or possibly restrictive, St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard said on Wednesday. Bullard has repeatedly raised the alarm over the central bank's plan to keep raising its benchmark lending rate and pointed to financial market signals as the best indicator of how policymakers should proceed.
  

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Comex trading signals In Malaysia | Gold Trading Forecast Today

GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY

INTERNATIONAL COMEX NEWS

• Gold prices gained on Friday as reports that U.S. President Donald Trump was considering plans to impose tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese imports as soon as next week weighed on market sentiment. Gold futures for December delivery was at a trading price of $1,211.5 per troy ounce, up by 0.6%, at 1:10AM ET (05:10 GMT) on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The precious metal remained on track to record their longest monthly losing streak since 2013 despite today’s gains.
• Oil prices slipped on Friday as concerns over the impact of a global trade war depressed sentiment, although impending U.S. sanctions on Iran and falling Venezuelan output limited losses. Benchmark Brent crude oil (LCOc1) was down 40 cents at $77.37 a barrel by 1310 GMT. U.S. light crude (CLc1) was 30 cents lower at $69.95.
• OPEC oil output has risen this month to a 2018 high as Libyan production recovered and Iraq's southern exports hit a record, a Reuters survey found, although a cut in Iranian shipments due to U.S. sanctions limited the increase. The 15- member Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has pumped 32.79 million barrels per day in August, the survey on Friday found, up 220,000 bpd from July's revised level and the highest this year.

ECONOMY NEWS

• The Russian central bank will need to postpone a plan to cut rates due to new U.S. sanctions against Moscow seen taking toll on inflation and the rouble, a monthly Reuters poll of 20 analysts and economists showed on Friday. Russia's economic outlook deteriorated after the rouble hit more than two-year lows against the dollar in August following Washington's move to apply fresh sanctions against Moscow and a warning that it could extend them in the future.
• The Brazilian economy accelerated slightly in the second quarter despite a nationwide truckers' strike, as a slow and uneven recovery rumbled on ahead of presidential elections in October. Brazil's gross domestic product (GDP) grew 0.2 percent from the first quarter and 1.0 percent from a year before, government statistics agency IBGE said on Friday. That compares with economists' consensus forecasts of 0.1 percent and 1.1 percent, respectively.
• The European Commission confirmed on Friday that trade measures restricting the sale of solar panels from China would end at the start of next week. The Commission, which coordinates EU trade policy, said in a statement that the measures would expire at midnight on Monday September 3. The European Union first imposed anti-dumping and anti -subsidy measures for Chinese solar panels, wafers and cells in 2013 and extended them in March 2017 by 18 months, signaling that they should then end.

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