TODAY FOREX REPORT EUR/USD, GBP/USD

INTERNATIONAL CURRENCY BUZZ

Forex - U.S. Dollar Inches Down as Trade Tensions Weigh
Forex - GBP/USD leaps above 1.30 on Barnier comments
Forex - EUR/USD looks to 1.1600 post-Eurozone Sentix

EUR/USD

The bulls are in charge in the European session, propelling the EUR/USD pair to takeout the 20-DMA barrier located at 1.1573, as they await fresh impetus for further upside targets. The spot is trying hard to take on the recovery from fresh three-week lows of 1.1526 reached in early Europe, as the US dollar appears to have found some support across its main competitors, after having witnessed a sharp corrective drop from three-day tops at 95.56. Meanwhile, downbeat Eurozone Sentix investor confidence data could also add weight on the common currency. The Eurozone Sentix investor confidence arrived at 12.0 in September versus 14.3 expected. From a broader perspective, the major remains exposed to further downside risks, as the monetary policy divergence between both the continents is back in play after Friday’s solid US NFP data suggests a faster pace of Fed tightening in the coming months.

GBP/USD

The GBP/USD pair gained more than 100 pips in a matter of minutes after the EU's Chief Brexit Negotiator, Michel Barnier, delivered optimistic comments surrounding the divorce talks with the UK. At the moment, the pair is trading at its highest level in ten days at 1.3035, adding nearly 1% on the day. Speaking at a conference in Bled, Slovenia, Barnier stated that they were close to reaching an agreement on the UK-EU security ties and added that it would be realistic to expect an orderly Brexit deal in 6-8 weeks. Regarding the Chequers plan, Barnier refuted the claims that it was rejected by the EU and said that it was useful. Earlier in the day, the data from the UK showed that manufacturing production contracted by 0.2% on a monthly basis in July while the industrial production only expanded by 0.1% in the same period and both readings fell short of the analysts' estimates. On a positive note, the monthly real-GDP growth came in at 0.2% in July to beat the market consensus of 0.2%.

 

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Dollar inches up against euro, yen as big data week kicks off

The dollar was slightly higher against the yen and the euro in Asian trade Monday, with many market participants avoiding taking strong positions ahead of key data including U.S. labor figures out later this week.

The dollar USDJPY, +0.47%  was at ¥119.24, compared with ¥119.11 late Friday in New York. The euro EURUSD, -0.28%  was at $1.0862 from $1.0891.

The euro EURJPY, +0.17%  was at ¥129.62 from ¥129.86.

The WSJ Dollar Index BUXX, +0.30% a measure of the dollar against a basket of major currencies, was up 0.12% at 87.19.

KLSE IForex Recommendations

TRADING TIPS :

GBP/USD hit 1.4797 during European morning trade, the pair’s lowest since March 20; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.4820, slipping 0.20%.The pound fell to one-week lows against the U.S. dollar on Friday, as demand for the greenback remained supported by the previous session’s upbeat U.S. data and as markets eyed an upcoming report on U.S. fourth quarter growth.The dollar found broad support after data on Thursday showing that the number of people filing unemployment assistance in the U.S. last week fell to a five-week low sparked optimism over the strength of the job market.




INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.4837
Resistance: 1.4897

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy GBP/USD Above 1.4899-TG: 1.4919/1.4949 SL 1.4869
2. Sell GBP/USD Below 1.4835-TG: 1.4815/1.4785 SL 1.4865

INTRADAY OUTLOOK

Support: 1.0788

Resistance: 1.0848

RECOMMENDATION:

1. Buy EUR/USD Above 1.0850-TG: 1.0870/1.0900 SL 1.0820

2. Sell EUR/USD Below 1.0786 -TG:1.0766/1.0736 SL 1.0816

Dollar sees largest two-week decline against euro since 2012

The U.S. dollar booked its largest two-week decline against the euro since September 2012 on Friday, sliding on expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin raising interest rates later, and more gradually, than market participants had previously anticipated.

The euro EURUSD, +0.04%  traded at $1.0886, compared with $1.0880 late Thursday. The dollar traded at 119.19 yen, compared with ¥119.19 level seen late Thursday.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, -0.03% which gauges the dollar’s strength against six major currencies, was down EURUSD, +0.04%  slightly at 97.39.

The pound GBPUSD, +0.22%  traded at $1.4907, compared with $1.4853 Thursday.

Dollar rises against euro, falls against yen

The dollar lost ground against the yen Thursday, but traded higher against the euro after falling for most of the past week.

The dollar USDJPY, +0.02%  was down at ¥119.20 from ¥119.50 late Tuesday.

The euro EURUSD, +0.02%  bought $1.0875, down from $1.0971 late Wednesday in New York, after gaining ground earlier Thursday against the dollar.

 The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, -0.01% which gauges the dollar’s strength against six other currencies, was flat at 97.4040.

Dollar weakens as rally enters ‘holding pattern’

The dollar traded lower against its rivals Wednesday, continuing a bearish pattern that has persisted since Federal Reserve policy makers signaled one week ago that they would begin raising interest rates later than the market had expected.

The euro EURUSD, +0.17%  was at $1.0974, compared with $1.0924 late Tuesday in New York. 

The dollar has weakened against the euro during three of the past five sessions.

The dollar USDJPY, -0.41%  was at ¥119.41, compared with ¥119.74. The pound GBPUSD, +0.07%  rebounded against the buck, trading at $1.4916, compared with $1.4847.

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KLSE IForex Recommendations

TRADING TIPS :
GBP/USD hit 1.4839 during European morning trade, the pair’s lowest since Friday; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.4867, retreating 0.57%.Cable was likely to find support at 1.4720, Friday’s low and resistance at 1.5012, the high of March 19.The pound dropped against the U.S. dollar on Monday, as the greenback regained some ground after declining sharply last week on the back of fresh uncertainty over the timing of a U.S. rate hike, while markets eyed upcoming U.K. data on industrial orders expectations.The dollar remained under pressure amid uncertainty over the path of U.S. monetary policy after the Federal Reserve downgraded its forecasts for growth and inflation and lowered its interest rate projections last week.




INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.4930
Resistance: 1.4990

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy GBP/USD Above 1.4992-TG: 1.5012/1.5042 SL 1.4962
2. Sell GBP/USD Below 1.4928-TG: 1.4908/1.4878 SL 1.4958

INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.0780
Resistance: 1.0860

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy EUR/USD Above 1.0862-TG: 1.0882/1.0912 SL 1.0832

2. Sell EUR/USD Below 1.0778-TG: 1.0758/1.0728 SL 1.0808
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Dollar weakens further against rivals on rate-hike bets

The dollar traded lower against its rivals Monday after recording its largest weekly percentage decline against the euro since October 2011.

The euro EURUSD, -0.21%  traded at $1.0945, its highest end-of-session level against the buck in three weeks, compared with $1.0821 Friday evening.

The dollar USDJPY, -0.02%  traded at 119.72 yen, its lowest level against the Japanese currency in nearly a month. It traded at 120.04 Friday.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +0.23% a measure of the buck’s strength against a basket of six rival currencies, was about 1% to 97.0000.

Dollar tips lower in Asia as market seeks fresh clues

The dollar was down slightly in a rangebound Asia trade Monday, with a lack of fresh cues in the market to lure investors.

The dollar was at ¥119.92, compared with ¥120.03 late Friday in New York.

The euro EURUSD, +0.06%  was at $1.0808 from $1.0823, while the common currency EURJPY, -0.05%  was also at ¥129.61 from ¥129.93.

The WSJ Dollar Index BUXX, +0.02% a measure of the dollar against a basket of major currencies, was down 0.07% at 87.35.

KLSE IForex Recommendations

TRADING TIPS :

GBP/USD hit 1.4723 during European morning trade, the session low; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.4749.Cable was likely to find support at 1.4631, the low of March 18 and a nearly five-year low and resistance at 1.4853, the high of March 16.The pound held steady against the U.S. dollar on Friday, after positive U.K. public sector borrowing data, while sentiment on the greenback remained vulnerable after the Federal Reserve’s latest policy statement.In a report, the U.K. Office for National Statistics said that public sector net borrowing rose by £6.22 billion in February, less than the expected increase of £7.70 billion. January’s figure was revised to a £8.93 billion drop from a previously estimated decline of £9.41 billion.




INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.4930
Resistance: 1.4990

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy GBP/USD Above 1.4992-TG: 1.5012/1.5042 SL 1.4962
2. Sell GBP/USD Below 1.4928-TG: 1.4908/1.4878 SL 1.4958

INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.0780
Resistance: 1.0860

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy EUR/USD Above 1.0862-TG: 1.0882/1.0912 SL 1.0832
2. Sell EUR/USD Below 1.0778-TG: 1.0758/1.0728 SL 1.0808 

Dollar ends week down 1.5% against euro

 dollar finished the week about 1.5% lower against the euro Friday, snapping three weeks of gains.

The euro EURUSD, +1.50%  traded at $1.0821, compared with $1.0668 Thursday.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, -1.28% a measure of the dollar’s strength against six rival currencies, finished the week down 2.4% at 97.6000.

Dollar stages rebound after Wednesday rout

The dollar recovered against its rivals Thursday after an unexpectedly dovish statement from Federal Reserve policy makers triggered the largest intraday selloff in the buck since 2009.

The euro EURUSD, +0.23%  traded at $1.0653, compared with $1.0831 at Wednesday’s close. The single currency briefly climbed above $1.10 after the close of the Fed’s news conference, its highest intraday level in two weeks.

The U.S. Dollar index DXY, -0.18% a measure of the dollar’s strength against six rival currencies, fell 3.6% intraday on Wednesday, its largest move since a 3.7% decline in March 2009. The index bounced back to 98.0760, up 0.5% on the day.

The dollar USDJPY, -0.04%  on Thursday fetched ¥120.81 compared with ¥120.09 late Wednesday.

Euro sinks more than 3% vs. buck for 2nd week in a row

 

The euro lost more than 3% of its value against the buck for the second straight week Friday, as the dollar’s eight-month rally resumed.

The euro EURUSD, -1.32% traded as low as $1.0465, its weakest level since January 2003.

The pound GBPUSD, -0.94% traded as low as $1.4700, its lowest level since June 2010, before both currencies staged a slight recovery. 

The euro traded at $1.0634 late Thursday, while the pound traded at $1.4849.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +0.91% a measure of the dollar’s strength against a basket of six currencies, was up 0.76% to 100.1900 in recent trade.

Dollar up against yen ahead of FOMC meeting

The dollar was slightly higher against the yen Friday, with investors avoiding taking lopsided positions ahead of the weekend and next week’s Federal Open Market Committee.

The dollar USDJPY, +0.10%  was at ¥121.47, compared with ¥121.26 late Thursday in New York.

The euro EURUSD, -0.18%  , tumbled to fresh 12-year low during Asian time Thursday. It last traded at $1.0584 from $1.0634.

The euro EURJPY, -0.10%  was down to ¥128.85 from ¥128.91, while the Aussie AUDJPY, -0.18%  fell to ¥93.24 from ¥93.48.

The WSJ Dollar Index BUXX, +0.17%  , a measure of the dollar against a basket of major currencies, was up 0.29% at 88.87.

Dollar index hits 11-year high on strong jobs report

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index rose for the second- straight week Friday, after the Bureau of Labor Statistics’s February nonfarm payrolls number exceeded expectations and the euro dropped to its lowest level versus the U.S. unit in more than 11 years.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +1.43% a measure of the buck’s strength against a basket of six rival currencies, finished the day up 1.3% to 97.63, its highest level in ,more than 11 1/2 years.
The euro EURUSD, -1.70% was at $1.0844 in recent trade after falling to its lowest level since 2003 at $1.0839 after the jobs report. It had traded at $1.1030 late Thursday.

The dollar USDJPY, +0.59% retreated slightly after hitting a four-month high of 121.27 yen, nearing its highest level against the Japanese currency since the summer of 2007, compared with ¥120.14 late Thursday in New York. The buck also USDZAR, +1.70%  rose to its highest level against the South African rand in 13 years after the report, trading at 12.05 rand to the dollar, compared with 11.84 Thursday.

The pound GBPUSD, -1.34%  traded at $1.5037 after the report, its lowest level in about a month. It had traded at $1.5238 Thursday.

U.S. dollar hits 11-year high against euro

The U.S. dollar hit an 11-year high against the euro Wednesday after pushing through a key technical threshold, shrugging off a weaker-than-expected ADP jobs report and strong eurozone reports.

The euro EURUSD, -0.41%   tumbled to $1.1073, its lowest level since late 2003.

The dollar USDJPY, +0.16%  inched higher against the yen after a measure of February service-sector activity in the U.S. came in higher than analysts had expected. The dollar traded at ¥119.70, compared with ¥119.67 late Tuesday.

The pound GBPUSD, -0.22%  traded at $1.5258, compared with $1.5362 Tuesday.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +0.31% a measure of the dollar’s strength against six of its largest trading partners’ currencies, was 0.62% higher at 95.9750.

KLSE IForex Recommendations

TRADING TIPS :

GBP/USDeased 0.12% to 1.5342 from around 1.5358 ahead of the data,the services purchasing managers’ index ticked down to 56.7 from 57.2 in January. Economists had expected the index to rise to 57.5.On the index, a level above 50.0 indicates expansion in the industry, below 50.0 indicates contraction.“Although the rate of expansion slowed in the vast services economy, growth has picked up in both manufacturing and construction,” Chris Williamson, chief economist at survey compilers Markit said.”The three PMI surveys collectively indicated a slight acceleration in economic growth for a second successive month in February as a result, consistent with GDP growth picking up to 0.6% in the first quarter.”




INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.5294
Resistance: 1.5364

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy GBP/USD Above 1.5366-TG: 1.5386/1.5416 SL 1.5336
2. Sell GBP/USD Below 1.5292-TG: 1.5272/1.5242 SL 1.5322

INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.1096
Resistance: 1.1165

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy EUR/USD Above 1.1167-TG: 1.1187/1.1217 SL 1.1137
2. Sell EUR/USD Below 1.1094-TG: 1.1064/1.1034 SL 1.1124

KLSE IForex Recommendations

TRADING TIPS :
GBP/USD hit 1.5398 during European morning trade, the session high; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.5371.U.K. construction purchasing managers’ index increased to 60.1 last month from a reading of 59.1 in January. Economists had expected the index to tick down to 59.0 in February. “Housing, commercial and civil engineering activity all expanded at the quickest rates since last October, helped by sharp rises in new business volumes and an improving economic backdrop.”The dollar had rallied broadly on Monday after data showed that U.S. manufacturing activity continued to expand in February supported expectations for higher interest rates.





INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.5337
Resistance: 1.5394

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy GBP/USD Above 1.5396-TG: 1.5416/1.5446 SL 1.5366
2. Sell GBP/USD Below 1.5335-TG: 1.5315/1.5285 SL 1.5365

INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.1148
Resistance: 1.1187

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy EUR/USD Above 1.1189-TG: 1.1209/1.1239 SL 1.1159
2. Sell EUR/USD Below 1.1146-TG: 1.1126/1.1096 SL 1.1176

Dollar inches lower on strong eurozone, U.K. data

The dollar inched lower against key rivals Tuesday after strong data out of Europe and the U.K. implied that economic growth in the rest of the world is beginning to catch up to the U.S.

The euro EURUSD, -0.07%  traded at $1.1175, compared with $1.1183 Monday evening, while the pound GBPUSD, -0.07%  traded at $1.5363, compared with $1.5359.

The dollar USDJPY, +0.01%  also drifted lower against the yen, trading at ¥119.70, compared with ¥120.14.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +0.11% a measure of the dollar’s strength against six of its largest trading partners, was down 0.06% on the day to 95.4090.

Forex Market Update

 

The dollar shrugged off a slate of weak economic data Monday to trade higher against the euro, yen and pound, benefiting from a surprise rate cut from the People’s Bank of China.

The euro EURUSD, +0.12%  fell to $1.1182, flat compared with its Friday-afternoon value of $1.1198. The buck USDJPY, -0.34%  traded at 120.18 yen, its highest level in nearly three weeks. It traded at ¥119.63 Friday.

 The pound GBPUSD, +0.11%  traded at $1.5366, compared with $1.5440 Friday.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index, a measure of the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six rival currencies, DXY, -0.17%  rose 0.2% to 95.47.